Larnevs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC
Original prediction
Larne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 48.2% | 48.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.1% | 26.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.7% | 25.8% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Larne
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Larne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40