Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Larne 2-1 Glentoran
Original prediction
Glentoran
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.0% | 35.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 28.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.6% | 35.8% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LarneLWDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GlentoranLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LarneGlentoran
0.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power56.2
1.22xG1.28