GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/7/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Larne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Larne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dungannon Swifts are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dungannon Swifts hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Premiership, while Larne holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Larne

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Larne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LarneLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dungannon SwiftsWLWWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LarneDungannon Swifts
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power47.8
1.42xG1.16
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