Larnevs
Cliftonville FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Larne 2-0 Cliftonville FC
Original prediction
Larne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.5% | 41.4% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 26.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.5% | 31.7% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Larne
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Larne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00