GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ballymena United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Larne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ballymena United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballymena United hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Premiership, while Ballymena United holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ballymena United

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Ballymena United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LarneWDLLD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ballymena UnitedLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LarneBallymena United
0.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power59.3
1.29xG1.37
View match centre →