Larisavs
Panserraikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/18/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larisa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Larisa 0-0 Panserraikos, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Larisa 0-0 Panserraikos
Original prediction
Larisa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.7% | 42.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.0% | 29.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.3% | 27.9% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Larisa 0–0 Panserraikos
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Larisa
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Larisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LarisaLDWWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PanserraikosWDWLL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LarisaPanserraikos
50.0Attack50.0
77.8Defence66.7
61.1Form55.6
63.2Power58.6
1.15xG0.81