Larisavs
Olympiakos Piraeus
COMPLETEDGreece · Cup · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Larisa 0-4 Olympiakos Piraeus
Original prediction
Larisa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.66 | 7.9% | 38.8% | 30.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.91 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 1.20 | 76.6% | 38.0% | -38.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
30.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Larisa
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Larisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LarisaWWLWD
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympiakos PiraeusWWLDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
100.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form33.3
93.8Power48.3
1.91xG1.01