Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Virkiä · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
LappBK are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Virkiä are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Virkiä hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Suomen Cup, while Virkiä holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Virkiä
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
7.1%
Virkiä has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 22 · GA 13 · avg 4.40/2.60