Lanusvs
Velez Sarsfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lanus 0-0 Velez Sarsfield, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lanus 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.8% | 34.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 31.4% | 33.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.8% | 31.9% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Lanus 0–0 Velez Sarsfield
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LanusDWWWL
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldDWDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LanusVelez Sarsfield
36.9Attack41.7
69.0Defence71.4
48.8Form58.3
52.7Power60.1
0.67xG0.73