Lanusvs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/14/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lanus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80