GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/14/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lanus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LanusDWLWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Vasco DA GamaLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LanusVasco DA Gama
33.3Attack54.2
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form58.3
40.7Power60.2
0.92xG1.46
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