GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/30/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lanus · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lanus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universidad de Chile are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Lanus holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lanus

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LanusDWWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad de ChileLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LanusUniversidad de Chile
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
40.7Power23.7
1.35xG1.07
View match centre →