GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lanus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lanus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Lanus holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lanus

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LanusWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Newells Old BoysDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LanusNewells Old Boys
36.5Attack31.7
68.3Defence46.7
47.6Form31.7
51.8Power39.1
1.31xG0.53
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