GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lanus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LanusLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Metropolitanos FCWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LanusMetropolitanos FC
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
50.0Form33.3
40.7Power45.3
1.15xG1.13
View match centre →