GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/22/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LanusDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LanusLDU de Quito
33.3Attack54.8
33.3Defence81.0
50.0Form61.9
40.7Power65.4
0.62xG1.55
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