Lanusvs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/17/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20