Lanusvs
FBC Melgar
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lanus are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80