Lanusvs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/22/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lanus 0-0 Estudiantes L.P., with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lanus 2-1 Estudiantes L.P.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 43.0% | 31.4% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.9% | 36.1% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 25.1% | 32.5% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Lanus 0–0 Estudiantes L.P.
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LanusWWLDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes L.P.WWDLD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LanusEstudiantes L.P.
37.2Attack35.9
67.9Defence78.2
47.4Form52.6
51.9Power56.1
0.54xG0.64