Lanusvs
Deportivo Garcilaso
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lanus are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Lanus holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lanus
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60