Lanusvs
Defensa Y Justicia
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lanus 0-0 Defensa Y Justicia, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lanus 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia
Original prediction
Lanus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.1% | 43.0% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.8% | 30.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 19.1% | 26.4% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Projected Score
Lanus 0–0 Defensa Y Justicia
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Lanus
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LanusLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensa Y JusticiaWWDWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LanusDefensa Y Justicia
34.7Attack39.1
65.3Defence58.0
43.1Form47.8
48.9Power50.3
0.94xG0.75