Lanusvs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lanus are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
24.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60