Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Banfield are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40