Lanusvs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 11/22/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lanus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40