GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lanús Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Lanús Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Martín San Juan Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanús Res. hold a 42.7-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Reserve League, while Lanús Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lanús Res.

Probability

88.5%

Model confidence

15.0%

Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lanús Res.LDWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín San Juan Res.LWLLL

GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lanús Res.San Martín San Juan Res.
65.2Attack24.2
56.5Defence0.0
60.9Form16.7
60.0Power17.3
3.48xG0.52
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