GGOALVIO

Lanús Res. logoLanús Res.vsIndependiente Res. logoIndependiente Res.

COMPLETED

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lanús Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

11.9%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lanús Res.WLWLW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Res.WDWLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lanús Res.Independiente Res.
65.2Attack76.8
56.5Defence69.6
60.9Form69.6
60.0Power69.4
1.24xG1.80
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