GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lanús Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lanús Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ferro 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanús Res. hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Reserve League, while Lanús Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lanús Res.

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lanús Res.LWWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro 2WLWLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lanús Res.Ferro 2
65.2Attack36.4
56.5Defence56.1
60.9Form39.4
60.0Power45.5
1.92xG0.83
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