Lanús Res.vs
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanús Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lanús Res. 3-0 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Original prediction
Lanús Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.3% | 53.0% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.6% | 25.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.1% | 21.9% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Lanús Res.
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20