Lanús Res.vs
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanús Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lanús Res. 3-1 Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Original prediction
Lanús Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.3% | 49.9% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 25.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 27.9% | 24.8% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Lanús Res.
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00