Lanús Res.vs
Banfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanús Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lanús Res. 2-1 Banfield Res.
Original prediction
Lanús Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.1% | 53.1% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.2% | 25.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.7% | 21.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Lanús Res.
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80