GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Landsberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nordlingen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Landsberg

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LandsbergLWWWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LandsbergNordlingen
84.3Attack64.7
49.0Defence51.0
64.7Form56.9
64.6Power57.5
2.75xG1.79
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