Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Landsberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Landsberg
Probability
79.8%
Model confidence
79.8%
Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80