GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/7/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Landsberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heimstetten are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Landsberg

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LandsbergLWWLW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HeimstettenLWDWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LandsbergHeimstetten
84.3Attack53.3
49.0Defence53.3
64.7Form46.7
64.6Power53.0
2.79xG1.42
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