Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Landsberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Landsberg
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20