Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Landsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Landsberg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Erlbach are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Landsberg hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Landsberg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Landsberg
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Landsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60