GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 5/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Åland United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Åland United W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ilves W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United W hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United W holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Åland United W

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

8.8%

Åland United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Åland United WLLWLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ilves WLWLWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Åland United WIlves W
97.8Attack60.0
57.8Defence35.6
68.9Form48.9
71.0Power49.3
3.92xG1.34
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