Åland Unitedvs
HJK
COMPLETEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 6/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Åland United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while HJK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
9.2%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60