Åland Unitedvs
HPS W
SCHEDULEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Åland United W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HPS W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United W hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (69.2 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United W holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Åland United
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
10.3%
Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40