Åland Unitedvs
HPS W
COMPLETEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 6/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Åland United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HPS W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Åland United
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
10.0%
Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40