Lancaster Cityvs
Workington
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lancaster City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Workington are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 15.3 against 15.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Northern, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60