GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lancaster City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lancaster City are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stafford Rangers are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lancaster City hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Lancaster City holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lancaster City

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Lancaster City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lancaster CityWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Stafford RangersL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Lancaster CityStafford Rangers
33.3Attack30.0
33.3Defence32.5
50.0Form25.0
42.7Power31.6
2.07xG0.83
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