Lancaster Cityvs
Quorn
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lancaster City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lancaster City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Quorn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and quorn hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Northern, favouring Lancaster City with 13.3% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lancaster City
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
13.3%
Lancaster City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40