Lamphun Warriorvs
Uthai Thani
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lamphun Warrior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lamphun Warrior 1-4 Uthai Thani
Original prediction
Lamphun Warrior
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.7% | 51.7% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.7% | 23.4% | -8.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.6% | 24.9% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Lamphun Warrior
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Lamphun Warrior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20