Lamphun Warriorvs
Bangkok United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangkok United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lamphun Warrior 0-2 Bangkok United
Original prediction
Bangkok United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 25.0% | 26.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.8% | 25.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.2% | 47.6% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Bangkok United
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Bangkok United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20