GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 8/27/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aris Thessalonikis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lamia are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aris Thessalonikis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris Thessalonikis hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Super League 1, while Aris Thessalonikis holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aris Thessalonikis

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Aris Thessalonikis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LamiaDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Aris ThessalonikisLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LamiaAris Thessalonikis
39.8Attack47.2
26.9Defence59.3
32.4Form50.9
35.7Power53.7
0.99xG1.99
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