Lambton Jaffasvs
Weston Bears
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Lambton Jaffas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
7.9%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80