GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/28/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Weston BearsWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Lambton JaffasWeston Bears
57.1Attack76.2
47.6Defence47.6
34.9Form63.5
46.2Power62.4
1.87xG2.37
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