GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/17/2024, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Weston Bears are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lambton JaffasWeston Bears
57.1Attack76.2
47.6Defence47.6
34.9Form63.5
46.2Power62.4
1.87xG2.37
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