GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/27/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Valentine are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lambton JaffasValentine
57.1Attack34.9
47.6Defence38.1
34.9Form39.7
46.2Power40.1
2.36xG1.02
View match centre →