GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/10/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

77.7%

Model confidence

77.7%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
New LambtonLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasNew Lambton
57.1Attack37.9
47.6Defence7.6
34.9Form18.2
46.2Power23.6
3.50xG1.05
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