GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/26/2023, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Maitland are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandDDLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasMaitland
57.1Attack60.3
47.6Defence50.8
34.9Form61.9
46.2Power60.0
1.77xG1.86
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