GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/1/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

82.9%

Model confidence

82.9%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasWDWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lambton JaffasLake Macquarie
57.1Attack30.3
47.6Defence0.0
34.9Form6.1
46.2Power14.9
3.60xG0.82
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